its close between checking the turn  and doing what you did. Population tendencies let us know that a c/r on the turn is a really strong line. With the line we took, I prefer a hero fold on the turn. Check back turn and reevaluate river is also a good line. Potentially turn our hand into a bluff catcher.

-pbogz

Hi there Lawboyy

One possibility is to underbet the turn, say 40 chips. You are then in a position to fold to a large c/r, or call a small c/r, with the intention of trying to see a cheap showdown.

I'd be interested to hear whether anyone thinks this play has merit? It's a play I hear recommended quite often, but I'm unsure whether it's the best line?
 

Calling turn and then folding river the way stacks are here is pretty lolbad imo.

In this spot I would bet fold turn and for most river cards:

- if bet into on river => fold

- if checked to on river => check back

I expect villain's flop c/c range to be comprised of mostly:

4x, 2x, draws (including some overcards)

The turn completes some of the straight draws, but I expect villain's range at the start of the turn to still be mostly bluff catchers & draws.

I am happy bet folding the turn because:

1. We are ahead of most of villain's range so there is value in betting and folding out his cumulative overcard & weak draw equity is quite valuable in this spot (protection benefit)

2. Without reads that villain is a very good player I don't expect villain to make me fold the best hand here:

   a. I don't expect a villain who will c/c draws on flop to start c/r them on the turn unimproved

   b. I don't expect most villains to be capable of turning weak showdown value like like 2x into a bluff in this spot to exploit my perception of the population's turn c/r range nuttiness

   c. Likewise, I don't expect the population to be floating the flop a whole lot here, to get to the turn with more hands with which to balance their turn c/r range