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chewbaka's picture
$7 hyper - what was my mistake?

 

Villain 3B% at 14%, PFR% at 44%

Bad move to call given good enough odds? Should I have just shoved or is this a fold?  I figured I cannot push since its not 8x ES yet.  We dont follow nash unless its 8x ES right?

 

No Limit Holdem Tournament • 2 Players
$6.85+$0.15

Hand converted by the official HUSNG.com hand converter

SB Hero 725  
BB brianf78 275  

Effective Stacks: 9bb

Blinds 15/30

Pre-Flop (45, 2 players)

Hero is SB

cKh6

Hero raises to 60, brianf78 goes all-in 275, Hero calls 215

Flop (550, 2 players, 1 all-in)

hJd6s4

Turn (550, 2 players, 1 all-in)

hT

River (550, 2 players, 1 all-in)

sT

Final Pot: 550

LaoSfa's picture
I would've

At 9bb I think its fine to shove, I don't wanna open and get called to play a hand that doesn't flop well postflop especially when your shallow

adam25185's picture
At 9bb I think its fine to

At 9bb I think its fine to shove, I don't wanna open and get called to play a hand that doesn't flop well postflop especially when your shallow

I agree that at 9bbs it's often best to open shove K-rag. However, vs someone who 3bets only 15%, I would not call it off vs a 3bet shove.

cdon3822's picture
Open jam pre but as played raise fold imo

Standard jam @ 9BB.

Once you min raise and get jammed on, you need to call (S-2) = 9-2 = 7BB for your equity share of a 2S = 2*9 = 18BB pot.

So you're better raise calling than raise fold if you have equity, e > (S-2) / 2S = 7 / 18 = 39%.

 

Kx6y vs a range of all PP, Ax + all broadways: A,KK-22,KQ-KT,QJ-QT,JT

 ~ 28% (bit less with card removal)

has 36.58% equity.

 

If he expands his 3b jamming range wider to include some weaker holdings you get closer to an indifference point between raise calling and raise folding.

For example vs the range: AA-22,AxKx-Ax2x,AxKy-Ax2y,KxQx-Kx6x,KxQy-Kx8y,QxJx-Qx6x,QxJy-Qx9y,JxTx-Jx8x,JxTy,Jx9y,Tx9x,Tx8x,Tx9y,9x8x,9x7x,8x7x

Kx6y has 39.72% equity

 

So if we expect villain to 3b jam very wide, which vs this opponent we don't we should raise call.

Against this opponent I don't expect we have the equity vs his 3b jamming range to profitably call a 3b jam so raise folding will have better expectation that raise calling.