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cdon3822's picture
Bluff catch river?

First hand of a hyper turbo. I bitch out on my plan because of bet sizing on the river. 

I don't know anything about this guy yet. 

I raise KQo get flatted, have a standard cbet opportunity and villain flats.

@ 25BB  he can have Ax (particularly weaker Ax) that flatted preflop

A lot of players also have Kx floats

And passive players will call with their FDs here

 

I figure I often have the best hand, but I don't really get much value from betting. 

So my plan when my cbet is called on the flop is to check back the turn and bluff catch the river when the FD doesn't get there in order to pick off his Kx floats.

(Whether the readless population bets on the river with their floats is debatable). 

 

So all goes to plan to the river (including perfect turn and river blanks for my plan), and he leads 0.75 P into me. 

I feel like his range is polarised between slow played Ax and missed FDs which are now bluffing.

But the sizing reweights his range towards value hands.

So I fold.

 

Do you think this is correct readless?

Are you barrelling the turn?

 

No Limit Holdem Tournament • 2 Players

$6.85+$0.15

Hand converted by the official HUSNG.com hand converter

SB Hero 500  
BB bediboy 500  

Effective Stacks: 25bb

Blinds 10/20

Pre-Flop (30, 2 players)

Hero is SB

hKdQ

Hero raises to 40, bediboy calls 20

Flop (80, 2 players)

sAcAc4

bediboy checks, Hero bets 40, bediboy calls 40

Turn (160, 2 players)

d2

bediboy checks, Hero checks

River (160, 2 players)

d8

bediboy bets 120, Hero folds

Final Pot: 160

bediboy wins 280 ( won +80 )

Hero lost -80

Dipl.Komp.'s picture
well, it´s difficult. it´s 7$

well, it´s difficult. it´s 7$ and you see all kind of crazy stuff there. he might unknowingly turn a hand like J4o into a bluff (which still beats you though).
 
i´d probably fold here as well.
you could make an argument for checking back the flop and let him bluff the turn and river. FDs are not such a big portion of his range, you will most likely only get value from his bluffs, so you have to give him the opportunity.
 
 
cheers
s.

wagsthedog5's picture
Correct often you do have the

Correct often you do have the best hand; however the bet of 120 seems dangerous.
My money is on him hitting the 2 or 8 though; good fold imo. 

BovaDonk's picture
I think you have to call once

I think you have to call once you take a line to induce like that.  You will see floats with 2 overs to the four and FDs in villians range.  I think there is too much air in his range to fold.  I prefer barrelling the turn and shutting down on the river I think you get tons of folds on that turn.