Hi lads, i couldn`t get husng converter right, and i`m pissed off of posting hands in plain text, because it is too hard to read them, so I decided to post this way:
I`ve got a question on flop, would it be better to CR and get it in? or my line was ok in here? If we try to get it in we may face some better 9x hands and all kind of FD, so overall it would be +ev play wouldn`t it?
It depends on x,y & z.
x=his preflop raise range.
y=his cbet frequency (bluff tendancy).
z=your percieved 3bet frequency eg. Could you have called his pfr with an overpair?
Etc.
I haven`t got good sample for him, (43 hands, steal 68, limp 0, CB 60, 2Barrel: 100, Fold to CR: 100) Vs him I would not call overpairs pre, he is calling all 3bets as far as I see in stats, WTSD is like 36 and Agg factor 6,0
From what you've seen villain is fairly loose and aggressive from the button.
He's likely cbetting with a lot of air on this flop.
You likely have the best hand, but your hand is vulnerable.
c/r and getting it in on the flop will likely not be a big mistake vs his range.
HOWEVER, c/c and then folding to a turn card he will barrel close to 100% of the time (overcard + 2nd FD), could be a pretty big mistake.
If you don't feel comfortable calling the turn barrel and playing the river OOP, just c/r jam the flop and put villain to a decision.
c/r jamming the flop here is a bit like open jamming low PPs pre, most of your expectation comes from the fold equity, but when you're called you're not in that bad of shape vs his range (the monster part of his call c/r jam range is diluted by the drawing hands + overs he can call off with here which you're flipping with or slightly ahead of).