Js6d @ 02:40. We minraise 16,75BB deep against an opp. who calls 67% and 3bets 13%. OTF he ch/call 50% and ch/raise 50%. If our main equity with J6o comes from fold equity, is mucking this hand preflop bad? If his ch/raise percentage hadn’t been that high, I would have been more inclined to minraise pre. But vs. this villian isn’t it hard to win 60t postflop here? Maybe I read his stats wrong, because the video is a little bit blurry.

When we minraise the flop aren’t we giving villian a little bit to good implied odds here. If he knows he is going to get our stack OTF he is calling 80 to win 970, so he only need 8-10% equity or 4 outs. Given the stack sizes i feel like we are GII on 90% of turns, so a raise to 200 is better because of 2 reasons: 1) Worse implied odds for villian2) We set up stacks so we have a easy turn shove

Ah4s @ 15:44. Villian 3x (something he had done a couple of times before). Even though villian had min 2x/folding, is really think we need to jam over his 3x here. As Rypac said, if we have any fold equity at all here, it will more then make up for the times we are crushed. If this was the first or second time villian had been 3xing I think that it is a superb fold, but since he have been doing it a reasonable amount, Kx, Qx and random SC becomes so likely don’t we can’t afford to give up here. A lot of the time I see villian 2,5x or 3x in endgame, and then fold to a jam even though they only need something like 40% equity.

JhJs @ 21:11. Agree with Rypacs commentary to 2,5x or 3x this pre. If we were a little shorter you can argue for a minraise, but in these instances it is just better to raise bigger. Def. bet bigger OTF. When villian raises us OTT I think we can find a fold – we haven’t seen villian test us postflop yet – we have minraised his limp, made a small cbet and then bet bigger on the turn. Our percieved range here is somewhat strong, and I don’t think the average villian bluffraises us here very often, even do villain very rarely has Ax here.

Let me hear your thoughts?

J6 - With the assumptions you list I agree with your thoughts (and I wasn't following the HUD too well in this one due to the poor quality of the video/second half of the match was the only thing given to me in the file).  Larger raise is better, yes, I kind of off hand mention "a little larger is better here" so 160 --> 200 is exactly the type of sizing I'm talking about there.

I did an OK job I think explaining that against somebody who offers either preflop or postflop fold equity, I would raise that hand on the button preflop though.  And that if your opponent allows you to limp, it's likely that they offer some sort of fold equity somewhere (not always true, but often enough readless to make that your default and be "best" in my mind without further information).

I like your thoughts on the other two hands.  I assume you don't want me to say anything about A4 or JJ since you agree with me and vice versa? (your last line says let me hear your thoughts, didn't know if you meant me or other viewers).

Oh, the only thing I do not agree with though is "OTF he is calling 80 to win 970."

Unless villain knows us, this is not true readless by any stretch, I see guys make smallish raises and check down all the time with TP, since the turn often brings an overcard and people often react with passive play when they have equity.  Draws may shove the turn more often (and TP does of course shove the turn sometimes), but not always.  Bluffs may shove the turn, but sometimes they get passive too.

The total pot if we get it all in is over 1200 chips I believe.  I think you meant 870 though, not 970, but villain can't count on that the way I think you were implying.

But 1) and 2) about better stack sizes for us and extracting more on the flop from him are all good, I think 200 is superior.